Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Cambuur v Excelsior

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:00 UTC

Final: SC Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Prediction 35.62%2.81fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.46%35.76%35.59%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.612.612.9043.48%38.35%38.31%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Excelsior (Visit)

Prediction 37.21%2.69fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.840%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.79%37.16%37.19%38.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.6542.55%39.80%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.851%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%27.09%27.22%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.45%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Cambuur (Local): 35.62%; Excelsior (Visit): 37.21%; Draw: 27.16%. For SC Cambuur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.50%EV -6.22%E -2.47%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV -6.02%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.39%E -0.523%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.39%E -0.523%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.39%E -0.523%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.22%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.927%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 17:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:50
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -4.53%E -1.69%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.55%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -4.53%E -1.69%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.55%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:25
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:43
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -6.60%E -2.63%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.19%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 17:55
Bovada🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -5.95%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.15%EV -5.85%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:48
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.29%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:28
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.29%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.50%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.50%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.50%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:30
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:30
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 17:55
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 17:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.20%EV -8.09%E -3.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.84%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.95%EV -8.46%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 17:40
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.49%EV -8.80%E -3.44%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -8.46%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -12.55%E -5.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:31
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -11.81%E -4.98%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.70%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -14.44%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -18.06%E -7.85%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 07:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00%0.1%2026-08-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-08-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-08-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-08-07 17:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-07 17:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-08-07 15:40

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