The School of Odds

SC Cambuur v Excelsior

2026-08-07 18:00 — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: SC Cambuur (Local)

Odds
2.0548.78%Min
2.2045.49%Mean
2.2344.94%Median
2.2943.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
41.22%2.426Min
42.54%2.351Max
41.22%2.426Mean
41.22%2.426Median
41.22%2.426IQM
41.22%2.426Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.29 under the IQM model: 41.22%

EV -5.62%Edge -2.45%Kelly -4.35%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Excelsior (Visit)

Odds
2.6038.46%Min
2.7835.99%Mean
2.8035.71%Median
2.8734.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.84%3.045Min
33.72%2.965Max
33.72%2.965Mean
33.72%2.965Median
33.72%2.965IQM
33.72%2.965Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.87 under the IQM model: 33.72%

EV -3.22%Edge -1.12%Kelly -1.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.7027.04%Mean
3.7326.85%Median
3.8925.71%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.63%4.061Min
25.11%3.982Max
25.06%3.990Mean
25.06%3.990Median
25.06%3.990IQM
25.06%3.990Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.89 under the IQM model: 25.06%

EV -2.50%Edge -0.644%Kelly -0.866%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSC Cambuur (Local) ▼Excelsior (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.29I 43.67% NM 41.90%EV -5.62% E -2.45% K -4.35% G +0.000%2.87I 34.84% NM 33.43%EV -3.22% E -1.12% K -1.72% G +0.000%3.89I 25.71% NM 24.67%EV -2.50% E -0.644% K -0.866% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:05
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.85%EV -7.27% E -3.23% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 33.04%EV -3.89% E -1.37% K -2.10% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.11%EV -6.01% E -1.60% K -2.19% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:04
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.22%EV -7.27% E -3.23% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.72%EV -7.27% E -2.64% K -4.15% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.06%EV -7.27% E -1.96% K -2.69% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45% NM 42.54%EV -9.33% E -4.24% K -7.77% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.84%EV -3.89% E -1.37% K -2.10% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.63%EV -4.76% E -1.25% K -1.70% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 12:05
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51% NM 42.03%EV -11.39% E -5.30% K -9.90% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.86%EV -7.27% E -2.64% K -4.15% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.10%EV -9.77% E -2.71% K -3.76% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-05 12:01
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 41.97%EV -15.51% E -7.57% K -14.77% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.09%EV -12.32% E -4.74% K -7.70% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 24.94%EV -13.53% E -3.92% K -5.52% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-05 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerSC Cambuur (Local)Excelsior (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%2.56I 39.06%3.35I 29.85%16.5%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 12:15