Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Cambuur v Excelsior

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 18:00 UTC

Score final : SC Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Prévision 35.62%2.81cote équitable
EV +3.31%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.46%35.76%35.59%39.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.612.612.9043.48%38.35%38.31%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Excelsior (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.21%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -0.840%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.79%37.16%37.19%38.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.6542.55%39.80%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.16%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -0.851%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.97%27.09%27.22%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.45%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Cambuur (Local) : 35.62% ; Excelsior (Visiteur) : 37.21% ; Match nul : 27.16%. Pour SC Cambuur (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.90, soit une espérance positive de +3.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.50%EV -6.22%E -2.47%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.04%EV -6.02%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.39%E -0.523%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.39%E -0.523%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.39%E -0.523%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.22%EV -3.62%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.927%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 17:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:50
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -4.53%E -1.69%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.55%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -4.53%E -1.69%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -3.99%E -1.55%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:25
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:43
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -6.60%E -2.63%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.19%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 17:55
Bovada🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -5.95%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.15%EV -5.85%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:48
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -6.31%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.29%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:28
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.29%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.50%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.50%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.50%E -0.955%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.25%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:30
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:30
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 17:55
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.11%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 17:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.20%EV -8.09%E -3.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.84%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.95%EV -8.46%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 17:40
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.49%EV -8.80%E -3.44%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -2.87%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -8.46%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -12.55%E -5.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.71%E -3.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 17:31
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -11.81%E -4.98%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.70%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.83%E -3.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -14.44%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.72%E -5.19%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -10.69%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -18.06%E -7.85%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -6.97%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 07:16
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00%0.1%2026-08-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-08-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.33%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-08-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-08-07 17:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-07 17:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-08-07 15:40