La escuela de los momios

SC Cambuur v Excelsior

2026-08-07 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Cambuur (Local)

Predicción 38.43%2.60momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.58%38.59%38.36%41.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.352.5446.51%42.76%42.55%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Excelsior (Visitante)

Predicción 35.80%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.560%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.72%35.71%35.86%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.622.622.7543.10%38.24%38.17%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.77%3.88momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%25.70%25.78%26.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.603.7530.77%27.93%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.76%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.33%EV -5.48%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 37.66%EV -2.78%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV -6.19%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -5.43%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 18:19
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.29%EV -7.27%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 00:58
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.70%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:35
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.70%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:35
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.08%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -7.98%E -3.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 19:53
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.33%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 14:25
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.37%E -0.899%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 21:19
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 19:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 09:53
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 09:53
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 02:14
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 15:44
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.07%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 21:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.37%E -0.899%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 20:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.19%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 14:15
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 18:44
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 20:09
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 20:14
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 21:34
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 13:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 13:58
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.07%E -5.86%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-12 00:44
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 11:30
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.560%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.32%EV -11.21%E -4.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -14.07%E -5.86%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -11.10%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 21:34
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.28%E -5.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-23 18:05
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -15.46%E -7.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -15.46%E -7.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -15.46%E -7.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:20
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -15.46%E -7.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -10.49%E -4.20%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-10 13:59
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.09%EV -15.46%E -7.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.12%EV -16.93%E -7.30%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.79%EV -16.26%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-19 04:15
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.90%EV -16.61%E -7.65%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.74%EV -5.84%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 06:25
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.96%EV -17.38%E -8.08%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.65%EV -15.86%E -6.75%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-11 21:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.72%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-07-26 06:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.67%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%9.7%2026-07-26 06:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.67%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%9.7%2026-07-26 06:30
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 37.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%10.8%2026-07-26 06:30