Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

PSV Eindhoven v FC Zwolle

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 19:00 UTC

Final: PSV Eindhoven 6–1 FC Zwolle

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prediction 73.27%1.36fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -7.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.19%73.28%73.37%75.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.271.281.3382.64%78.66%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zwolle (Visit)

Prediction 11.94%8.37fair odd
EV +8.57%
Edge +0.943%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 9.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%11.98%11.86%13.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.928.009.0915.38%12.62%12.50%11.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.78%6.76fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +0.498%
Kelly +0.581%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.48%14.74%14.76%18.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.506.176.007.0022.22%16.22%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PSV Eindhoven (Local): 73.27%; FC Zwolle (Visit): 11.94%; Draw: 14.78%. For FC Zwolle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.37. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%EV +8.57%E +0.943%K +1.06%G +0.091%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.28%EV -6.12%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.49%E +0.833%K +0.937%G +0.070%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%5.4%2026-04-23 18:53
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +3.91%E +0.450%K +0.508%G +0.020%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.05%EV -6.86%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:49
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +3.91%E +0.450%K +0.508%G +0.020%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.05%EV -6.86%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.18%EV -3.28%E -2.49%K -10.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:39
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.23%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.50%EV -1.34%E -0.163%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.27%EV -1.54%E -0.231%K -0.272%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.68%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.38%EV -2.06%E -0.251%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -0.950%E -0.142%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:49
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.70%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:39
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:45
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:39
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -10.61%E -8.69%K -48.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.49%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -5.64%E -0.714%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.70%EV -6.12%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.08%EV -9.87%E -8.03%K -42.93%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -6.84%E -0.877%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.06%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.76%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.18%EV -0.211%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:40
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:54
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.25%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.00%EV -11.34%E -9.37%K -54.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.53%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.68%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.68%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.97%EV -9.87%E -8.03%K -42.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.55%EV -13.41%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -0.211%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.60%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -13.41%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -9.82%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 69.19%EV -10.61%E -8.69%K -48.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -16.39%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.76%EV -33.47%E -7.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.42%EV -11.34%E -9.37%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -19.38%E -2.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.40%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -22.37%E -3.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.28%0.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.28%0.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.41%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%0.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.31%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.75%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%3.1%2026-04-23 18:50