La escuela de los momios

PSV Eindhoven v FC Zwolle

Inicio: 2026-04-23 19:00 UTC

Final: PSV Eindhoven 6–1 FC Zwolle

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Predicción 73.27%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -7.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.19%73.28%73.37%75.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.271.281.3382.64%78.66%78.13%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zwolle (Visitante)

Predicción 11.94%8.37momio equitativo
EV +8.57%
Ventaja +0.943%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.091%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.54%11.98%11.86%13.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.928.009.0915.38%12.62%12.50%11.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.78%6.76momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +0.498%
Kelly +0.581%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.48%14.74%14.76%18.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.506.176.007.0022.22%16.22%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%EV +8.57%E +0.943%K +1.06%G +0.091%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.28%EV -6.12%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:54
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.49%E +0.833%K +0.937%G +0.070%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%5.4%2026-04-23 18:53
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +3.91%E +0.450%K +0.508%G +0.020%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.05%EV -6.86%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:49
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +3.91%E +0.450%K +0.508%G +0.020%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.05%EV -6.86%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:50
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:40
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.18%EV -3.28%E -2.49%K -10.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:39
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:45
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.23%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.50%EV -1.34%E -0.163%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.27%EV -1.54%E -0.231%K -0.272%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.68%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.38%EV -2.06%E -0.251%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -0.950%E -0.142%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:34
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:49
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.70%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:44
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:39
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:40
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:39
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:45
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:45
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:39
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -10.61%E -8.69%K -48.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 18:44
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.49%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -5.64%E -0.714%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.70%EV -6.12%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.08%EV -9.87%E -8.03%K -42.93%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -6.84%E -0.877%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 18:54
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.06%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.76%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.18%EV -0.211%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:54
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.25%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 18:44
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.00%EV -11.34%E -9.37%K -54.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:55
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.53%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.68%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:50
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.68%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.97%EV -9.87%E -8.03%K -42.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.55%EV -13.41%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -0.211%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.60%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -13.41%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -9.82%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 69.19%EV -10.61%E -8.69%K -48.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -16.39%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.76%EV -33.47%E -7.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.42%EV -11.34%E -9.37%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -19.38%E -2.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 18:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.40%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -22.37%E -3.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.28%0.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.28%0.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.41%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%0.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.31%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.75%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%3.1%2026-04-23 18:50