L’École des cotes

PSV Eindhoven v FC Zwolle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : PSV Eindhoven 6–1 FC Zwolle

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 73.27%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -7.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.19%73.28%73.37%75.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.271.281.3382.64%78.66%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Zwolle (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.94%8.37cote équitable
EV +8.57%
Avantage +0.943%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.091%

avec la cote maximale 9.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%11.98%11.86%13.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.928.009.0915.38%12.62%12.50%11.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.78%6.76cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.498%
Kelly +0.581%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.48%14.74%14.76%18.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.506.176.007.0022.22%16.22%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.05%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%EV +8.57%E +0.943%K +1.06%G +0.091%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.28%EV -6.12%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 18:54
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.49%E +0.833%K +0.937%G +0.070%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%5.4%2026-04-23 18:53
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +3.91%E +0.450%K +0.508%G +0.020%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.05%EV -6.86%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:49
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +3.91%E +0.450%K +0.508%G +0.020%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.05%EV -6.86%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 18:50
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:40
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.18%EV -3.28%E -2.49%K -10.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:39
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +1.52%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:45
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.23%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.50%EV -1.34%E -0.163%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.27%EV -1.54%E -0.231%K -0.272%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.68%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.38%EV -2.06%E -0.251%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -0.950%E -0.142%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:34
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:49
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.70%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:40
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:44
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:39
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:40
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:39
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:45
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.21%E -4.85%K -22.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:45
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.68%E -6.09%K -29.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:39
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -10.61%E -8.69%K -48.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -4.45%E -0.556%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 18:44
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.49%EV -6.94%E -5.47%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -5.64%E -0.714%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.70%EV -6.12%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.08%EV -9.87%E -8.03%K -42.93%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -6.84%E -0.877%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 18:54
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.06%EV -4.01%E -3.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.76%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.18%EV -0.211%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -3.91%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:54
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:35
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.25%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -14.99%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 18:44
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.00%EV -11.34%E -9.37%K -54.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -10.42%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -14.26%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:55
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.53%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.68%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:50
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.68%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -11.62%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.97%EV -9.87%E -8.03%K -42.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.55%EV -13.41%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -0.211%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.60%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -13.41%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -9.82%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 69.19%EV -10.61%E -8.69%K -48.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -16.39%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.76%EV -33.47%E -7.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.42%EV -11.34%E -9.37%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -19.38%E -2.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 18:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.40%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -22.37%E -3.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.28%0.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.28%0.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.41%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%0.5%2026-04-23 18:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.31%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.75%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.67%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%3.1%2026-04-23 18:50