Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

NEC Nijmegen v Go Ahead Eagles

Início: 2026-09-20 14:45 UTC

Final: NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Previsão 42.66%2.34odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.629%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.57%42.76%42.57%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.72%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante)

Previsão 33.18%3.01odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.723%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.63%33.14%33.17%34.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.55%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.16%4.14odd justa
EV -0.929%
Vantagem -0.227%
Kelly -0.300%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.80%24.10%24.26%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.833.824.1028.57%26.11%26.18%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 42.66%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante): 33.18%; Empate: 24.16%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.10, com valor esperado de -0.929%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.57%EV -1.45%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.23%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -7.94%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.68%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.53%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.53%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 14:34
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.53%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.64%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.08%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:33
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:33
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:24
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:34
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.98%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.49%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 14:09
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.20%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.46%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:38
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -0.929%E -0.227%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:09
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:09
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:10
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.49%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.03%EV -6.11%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -7.69%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:31
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.37%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.85%EV -7.43%E -3.42%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -9.63%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:04
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:04
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:09
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:39
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.38%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -12.09%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 14:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -11.26%E -5.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:19
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.96%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -13.74%E -5.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 14:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-09-20 14:39
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-09-20 14:39
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-20 14:39
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-09-20 14:39