Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

NEC Nijmegen v Go Ahead Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:45 UTC

Score final : NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Prévision 42.66%2.34cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.57%42.76%42.57%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.72%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.18%3.01cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.63%33.14%33.17%34.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.55%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.16%4.14cote équitable
EV -0.929%
Avantage -0.227%
Kelly -0.300%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%24.10%24.26%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.824.1028.57%26.11%26.18%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : NEC Nijmegen (Local) : 42.66% ; Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur) : 33.18% ; Match nul : 24.16%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.14. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.10, pour une espérance de -0.929% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.57%EV -1.45%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.23%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -7.94%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.68%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.53%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.53%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 14:34
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.53%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.64%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.08%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:33
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:33
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:24
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:34
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.98%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.49%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 14:09
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.20%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.46%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:38
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -0.929%E -0.227%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:09
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:09
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 14:10
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.49%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.03%EV -6.11%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -7.69%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:31
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.37%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.85%EV -7.43%E -3.42%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -9.63%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:04
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:04
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:09
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:39
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.29%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.38%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -2.13%E -0.723%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -12.09%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 14:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -11.26%E -5.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:19
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.96%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -13.74%E -5.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 14:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-09-20 14:39
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-09-20 14:39
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-20 14:39
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-09-20 14:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-09-20 14:39