La scuola delle quoteItaliano
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
NEC Nijmegen (Casa)
Previsione 66.77%1.50quota equa
EV -3.85%
Vantaggio -2.67%
Kelly -8.75%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.31%66.73%66.72%68.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.391.401.4480.65%72.16%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fortuna Sittard (Trasferta)
Previsione 14.55%6.87quota equa
EV +9.14%
Vantaggio +1.22%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescita +0.128%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.87%14.61%14.53%16.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.206.546.507.5019.23%15.29%15.38%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 18.68%5.35quota equa
EV -0.442%
Vantaggio -0.083%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.95%18.66%18.74%19.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.995.005.3323.26%20.05%20.00%18.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.05%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.69%EV +3.46%E +0.487%K +0.567%G +0.020% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.26%EV -0.442%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 18:18 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 14.14%EV -0.758%E -0.111%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.41%EV -2.12%E -0.405%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -1.05%E -0.154%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -1.05%E -0.154%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -8.53%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -2.50%E -0.374%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -2.50%E -0.374%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 19:43 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.95%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -9.05%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.22%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.74%EV -9.78%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:33 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.95%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.37%EV -12.53%E -9.57%K -40.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -14.15%E -2.40%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -14.08%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 19:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.73%EV -17.21%E -13.88%K -71.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.02%EV -14.15%E -2.40%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.24%EV -19.68%E -4.58%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.75%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -15.60%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -16.33%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -19.97%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.31%EV -8.53%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -24.33%E -4.68%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -12.21%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.43% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |