La escuela de los momiosEspañol
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
NEC Nijmegen (Local)
Predicción 66.77%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -8.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.31%66.73%66.72%68.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.391.401.4480.65%72.16%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortuna Sittard (Visitante)
Predicción 14.55%6.87momio equitativo
EV +9.14%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.128%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.87%14.61%14.53%16.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.546.507.5019.23%15.29%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.68%5.35momio equitativo
EV -0.442%
Ventaja -0.083%
Kelly -0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.95%18.66%18.74%19.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.995.005.3323.26%20.05%20.00%18.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.05%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.69%EV +3.46%E +0.487%K +0.567%G +0.020% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.26%EV -0.442%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 18:18 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 14.14%EV -0.758%E -0.111%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.41%EV -2.12%E -0.405%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -1.05%E -0.154%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -1.05%E -0.154%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -8.53%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -2.50%E -0.374%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -2.50%E -0.374%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 19:43 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.95%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -9.05%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.22%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.74%EV -9.78%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:33 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.95%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.37%EV -12.53%E -9.57%K -40.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -14.15%E -2.40%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -14.08%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 19:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.73%EV -17.21%E -13.88%K -71.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.02%EV -14.15%E -2.40%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.24%EV -19.68%E -4.58%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.75%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -15.60%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -16.33%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -19.97%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.31%EV -8.53%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -24.33%E -4.68%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -12.21%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.43% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |