L’École des cotesFrançais
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
NEC Nijmegen (Local)
Prévision 66.77%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -8.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.31%66.73%66.72%68.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.391.401.4480.65%72.16%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.55%6.87cote équitable
EV +9.14%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.128%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.87%14.61%14.53%16.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.546.507.5019.23%15.29%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.68%5.35cote équitable
EV -0.442%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.102%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%18.66%18.74%19.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.995.005.3323.26%20.05%20.00%18.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +9.14%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.128% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.00%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.05%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.69%EV +3.46%E +0.487%K +0.567%G +0.020% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.26%EV -0.442%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 18:18 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.86%E +0.266%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 14.14%EV -0.758%E -0.111%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.41%EV -2.12%E -0.405%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -1.05%E -0.154%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -1.05%E -0.154%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.37%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -1.78%E -0.263%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -8.53%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -2.50%E -0.374%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.87%E -0.552%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -2.50%E -0.374%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 19:43 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.94%E -0.369%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -4.74%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -5.41%E -0.833%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.95%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -9.05%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.22%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.74%EV -9.78%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:33 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.69%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.95%E -3.54%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.37%EV -12.53%E -9.57%K -40.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -14.15%E -2.40%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -14.08%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 19:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.73%EV -17.21%E -13.88%K -71.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.02%EV -14.15%E -2.40%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.24%EV -19.68%E -4.58%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.75%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -15.60%E -2.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -16.33%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -19.97%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.31%EV -8.53%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -24.33%E -4.68%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -12.21%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.43% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |