Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NAC Breda (Local): 28.33%; Ajax (Visit): 46.64%; Draw: 25.03%. For NAC Breda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.13%E -4.13%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -9.53%E -4.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -9.53%E -4.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 11:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -6.23%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.14%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -3.37%E -0.874%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.53%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 02:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 02:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 02:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -7.64%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -1.12%E -0.283%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -1.12%E -0.283%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.40%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.09%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.26%EV -10.46%E -5.45%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.65%EV -7.88%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -8.77%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 10:56 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -22.40%E -7.22%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 19:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -10.46%E -5.45%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -12.32%E -6.56%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -16.42%E -5.57%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.32%E -6.56%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |