La scuola delle quote

NAC Breda v Ajax

Inizio: 2026-04-25 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

NAC Breda (Casa)

Previsione 28.33%3.53quota equa
EV +1.99%
Vantaggio +0.553%
Kelly +0.766%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%28.35%28.41%29.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.313.303.6033.90%30.19%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ajax (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.64%2.14quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -0.983%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.76%46.60%46.57%47.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.982.002.1053.19%50.39%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.03%3.99quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.283%
Kelly -0.379%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.96%25.05%25.02%27.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.683.703.9532.26%27.14%27.03%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 00:49
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 16:14
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 16:15
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:15
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.13%E -4.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:04
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:10
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:10
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:15
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -9.53%E -4.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:14
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -9.53%E -4.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:24
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 11:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 11:43
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 11:45
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 10:25
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:15
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 10:24
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:15
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:15
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:14
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:15
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:10
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -6.23%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.14%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -3.37%E -0.874%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.53%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 19:05
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:39
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 10:25
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:39
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 10:24
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -7.64%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:45
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -1.12%E -0.283%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 19:00
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -1.12%E -0.283%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 19:00
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.40%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:05
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 18:05
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 28.09%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.26%EV -10.46%E -5.45%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.65%EV -7.88%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:14
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -8.77%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:56
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:15
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:00
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -22.40%E -7.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 10:24
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:04
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 19:01
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -10.46%E -5.45%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 10:44
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -12.32%E -6.56%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 10:49
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -16.42%E -5.57%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.32%E -6.56%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 10:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.0%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-04-23 13:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-04-23 13:30
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%5.1%2026-04-23 21:30