مدرسة الاحتمالات

NAC Breda v Ajax

البداية: 2026-04-25 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

NAC Breda (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.33%3.53السعر العادل
EV +1.99%
الأفضلية +0.553%
Kelly +0.766%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.67%28.35%28.41%29.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.313.303.6033.90%30.19%30.30%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ajax (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.64%2.14السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.983%
Kelly -1.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.76%46.60%46.57%47.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.881.982.002.1053.19%50.39%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.03%3.99السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.283%
Kelly -0.379%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.96%25.05%25.02%27.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.683.703.9532.26%27.14%27.03%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 00:49
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 16:14
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +1.99%E +0.553%K +0.766%G +0.015%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 16:15
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:15
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -0.842%E -0.241%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.13%E -4.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:04
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:10
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:10
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:15
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -9.53%E -4.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:14
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.26%E -0.655%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -9.53%E -4.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:24
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 11:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 11:43
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 11:45
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 10:25
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:15
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 10:24
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:15
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:15
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:14
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:15
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:10
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -6.23%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.14%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -3.37%E -0.874%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.53%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 19:05
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:39
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 10:25
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 02:39
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 10:24
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -7.64%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:45
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -1.12%E -0.283%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 19:00
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -1.12%E -0.283%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 19:00
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.40%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:05
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 18:05
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 28.09%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.26%EV -10.46%E -5.45%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.65%EV -7.88%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:14
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -8.77%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:56
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:15
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:00
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.99%E -5.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -10.93%E -5.72%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -22.40%E -7.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 10:24
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:05
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -2.06%E -0.983%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:04
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 19:01
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -10.46%E -5.45%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 10:44
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -12.32%E -6.56%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 10:49
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.06%E -4.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -16.42%E -5.57%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.32%E -6.56%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 10:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.0%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-04-23 13:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-04-23 13:30
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%5.1%2026-04-23 21:30