مدرسة الاحتمالات

Heracles Almelo v Groningen

البداية: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Heracles Almelo 1–2 Groningen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Heracles Almelo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.33%5.17السعر العادل
EV +12.13%
الأفضلية +2.09%
Kelly +2.53%
النمو +0.307%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.80%19.30%19.41%20.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.334.914.905.8023.09%20.37%20.41%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Groningen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.75%1.67السعر العادل
EV -4.40%
الأفضلية -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.14%59.77%59.64%63.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.541.551.6069.93%64.91%64.52%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.92%4.78السعر العادل
EV +4.59%
الأفضلية +0.918%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.053%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.49%20.93%20.94%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.454.455.0027.78%22.47%22.47%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%EV +12.13%E +2.09%K +2.53%G +0.307%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%EV +4.59%E +0.918%K +1.15%G +0.053%1.8%2026-05-17 07:20
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%EV +12.13%E +2.09%K +2.53%G +0.307%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%EV +4.59%E +0.918%K +1.15%G +0.053%1.8%2026-05-17 07:20
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.80%EV +12.13%E +2.09%K +2.53%G +0.307%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.70%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%EV +4.59%E +0.918%K +1.15%G +0.053%2.6%2026-05-17 07:20
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +2.47%E +0.465%K +0.574%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.78%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:05
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +2.47%E +0.465%K +0.574%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.78%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:05
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +2.47%E +0.465%K +0.574%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.78%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:05
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +1.50%E +0.286%K +0.353%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV +0.534%E +0.103%K +0.127%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.94%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.78%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 07:20
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -1.40%E -0.274%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.76%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 18:35
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -1.40%E -0.274%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:20
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -1.40%E -0.274%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 06:45
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 08:08
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:54
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:25
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:26
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.58%EV -12.77%E -8.74%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 07:20
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.58%EV -12.77%E -8.74%K -27.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.75%EV -13.36%E -9.22%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:20
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -3.33%E -0.667%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.75%EV -13.36%E -9.22%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:20
1xBet4.93I 20.28%NM 19.42%EV -4.69%E -0.951%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.73%EV -3.36%E -0.727%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.31%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -6.92%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:50
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.31%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -6.92%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.80%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:26
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.71%EV -14.56%E -10.18%K -33.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.29%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 18:35
Pinnacle4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -5.85%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.89%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.43%EV -1.90%E -0.404%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 08:16
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.20%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.36%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.20%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.36%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:56
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.20%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:50
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.20%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.20%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:35
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.20%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:35
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:49
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:10
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -6.92%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:54
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:50
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.17%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 08:09
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.58%EV -10.10%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:50
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.07%E -2.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.07%E -2.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.07%E -2.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:40
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.07%E -2.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.19%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:40
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.22%EV -11.07%E -2.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.00%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -13.00%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -13.00%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -24.70%E -6.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 07:55
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -14.93%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:55
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -16.29%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-05-17 08:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.79%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-05-17 06:45