Oddsskolan

Heracles Almelo v Excelsior

Matchstart: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Heracles Almelo (Hemma)

Prognos 35.71%2.80rättvist odds
EV -1.80%
Fördel -0.656%
Kelly -1.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.20%35.80%35.76%37.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.352.602.622.7542.55%38.41%38.17%36.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Excelsior (Borta)

Prognos 35.90%2.79rättvist odds
EV +1.60%
Fördel +0.565%
Kelly +0.873%
Tillväxt +0.014%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.26%35.85%35.87%37.49%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.302.592.622.8343.48%38.56%38.17%35.34%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.39%3.52rättvist odds
EV -0.627%
Fördel -0.179%
Kelly -0.251%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.06%28.35%28.37%29.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.903.263.303.5034.48%30.67%30.30%28.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV -8.59%E -3.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV +1.60%E +0.565%K +0.873%G +0.014%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.86%EV -1.20%E -0.343%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 18:55
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.29%EV -5.74%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.29%EV -5.74%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 18:10
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 09:29
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -3.95%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.72%EV -2.71%E -1.000%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -2.90%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:20
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 09:30
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 09:29
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 09:29
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:19
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:45
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:35
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:54
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 13:05
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:35
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:35
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:20
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:20
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:20
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.627%E -0.179%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 18:39
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.73%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:54
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.37%EV -5.73%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:54
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 18:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 13:29
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:20
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:35
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.09%E -2.32%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:19
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.09%E -2.32%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:19
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.30%EV -9.17%E -3.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 18:34
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 13:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:00
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 17:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 16:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-20 18:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -13.84%E -5.77%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 13:25
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.84%E -5.77%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-20 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.22%EV -11.80%E -4.78%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -13.84%E -5.77%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -13.40%E -4.39%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-20 18:38
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -15.63%E -6.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 13:24
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -16.09%E -6.85%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -15.63%E -6.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -17.66%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -17.43%E -7.58%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -14.82%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-20 18:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-20 18:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-20 18:55