Die Schule der Quoten

Heracles Almelo v Excelsior

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Heracles Almelo (Heim)

Prognose 35.71%2.80faire Quote
EV -1.80%
Vorteil -0.656%
Kelly -1.03%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.20%35.80%35.76%37.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.352.602.622.7542.55%38.41%38.17%36.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Excelsior (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.90%2.79faire Quote
EV +1.60%
Vorteil +0.565%
Kelly +0.873%
Wachstum +0.014%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.26%35.85%35.87%37.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.592.622.8343.48%38.56%38.17%35.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.39%3.52faire Quote
EV -0.627%
Vorteil -0.179%
Kelly -0.251%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.06%28.35%28.37%29.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.903.263.303.5034.48%30.67%30.30%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV -8.59%E -3.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV +1.60%E +0.565%K +0.873%G +0.014%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.86%EV -1.20%E -0.343%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 18:55
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.29%EV -5.74%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.29%EV -5.74%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 18:10
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 09:29
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -3.95%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.72%EV -2.71%E -1.000%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -2.90%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:20
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.80%E -0.656%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 09:30
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 09:29
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 09:29
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:19
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:45
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:35
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:54
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 13:05
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:35
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:35
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:20
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:20
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -5.58%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:20
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.627%E -0.179%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 18:39
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.73%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:54
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.37%EV -5.73%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:54
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 18:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 13:29
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:20
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:35
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.09%E -2.32%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:19
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -6.09%E -2.32%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:19
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.30%EV -9.17%E -3.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 18:34
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 13:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:00
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 17:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 18:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 16:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.25%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.98%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-20 18:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -13.84%E -5.77%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 13:25
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.84%E -5.77%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-20 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.22%EV -11.80%E -4.78%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -13.84%E -5.77%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -13.40%E -4.39%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-20 18:38
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -15.63%E -6.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 13:24
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -16.09%E -6.85%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -15.63%E -6.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -17.66%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -17.43%E -7.58%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -14.82%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-20 18:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-20 18:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-20 18:55