La scuola delle quote

Heerenveen v SC Telstar

Inizio: 2026-03-14 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Heerenveen (Casa)

Previsione 57.36%1.74quota equa
EV -0.771%
Vantaggio -0.446%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.82%57.25%57.43%58.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.461.641.651.7368.49%61.14%60.79%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Telstar (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.83%4.80quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -0.442%
Kelly -0.561%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.88%20.94%20.79%22.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.424.404.7025.32%22.64%22.73%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.81%4.59quota equa
EV +1.19%
Vantaggio +0.256%
Kelly +0.326%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.66%21.82%21.78%22.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.204.204.6427.03%23.78%23.81%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV -3.33%E -0.717%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.19%E +0.256%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.3%2026-03-14 18:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.777%E -0.171%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.777%E -0.171%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 18:35
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.35%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.85%EV -3.74%E -0.810%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.80%EV -3.61%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 18:50
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 18:35
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:44
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:35
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:04
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.23%EV -0.771%E -0.446%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 18:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:45
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:55
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:55
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:55
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.58%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.82%EV -0.771%E -0.446%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.82%EV -0.771%E -0.446%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -3.12%E -0.671%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -3.12%E -0.671%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:25
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.01%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 18:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 18:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 18:55
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -9.50%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -11.10%E -7.16%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -9.50%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 18:34
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.37%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.37%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 18:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.14%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -10.41%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.32%EV -10.52%E -6.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -17.70%E -4.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 17:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.24%E -8.00%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -11.68%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 18:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 18:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.12%EV -12.82%E -8.43%K -24.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -14.58%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 18:15
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.95%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 18:50
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 56.83%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.74%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -19.31%E -5.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-14 18:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-14 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-14 18:55
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-03-14 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-03-14 18:55
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-03-14 18:55