مدرسة الاحتمالات

Heerenveen v SC Telstar

البداية: 2026-03-14 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Heerenveen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.36%1.74السعر العادل
EV -0.771%
الأفضلية -0.446%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.82%57.25%57.43%58.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.461.641.651.7368.49%61.14%60.79%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SC Telstar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.83%4.80السعر العادل
EV -2.08%
الأفضلية -0.442%
Kelly -0.561%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.88%20.94%20.79%22.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.424.404.7025.32%22.64%22.73%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.81%4.59السعر العادل
EV +1.19%
الأفضلية +0.256%
Kelly +0.326%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.66%21.82%21.78%22.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.204.204.6427.03%23.78%23.81%21.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV -3.33%E -0.717%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.19%E +0.256%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.3%2026-03-14 18:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.777%E -0.171%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.777%E -0.171%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 18:35
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.35%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.85%EV -3.74%E -0.810%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.80%EV -3.61%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 18:50
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 18:35
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:44
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:35
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:04
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.23%EV -0.771%E -0.446%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 18:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:45
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:55
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:55
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:55
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.58%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.82%EV -0.771%E -0.446%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.82%EV -0.771%E -0.446%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -3.12%E -0.671%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -3.12%E -0.671%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:25
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.01%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.16%E -0.904%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 18:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 18:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 18:55
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -9.50%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -11.10%E -7.16%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -9.50%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 18:34
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.64%E -2.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 18:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -4.21%E -2.52%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.37%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.37%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 18:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.14%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -10.41%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.32%EV -10.52%E -6.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -17.70%E -4.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 17:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.24%E -8.00%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -11.68%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 18:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 18:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.45%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -8.33%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.12%EV -12.82%E -8.43%K -24.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -14.58%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 18:15
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.95%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 18:50
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 56.83%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.74%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -19.31%E -5.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-14 18:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-14 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-14 18:55
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-03-14 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-03-14 18:55
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-03-14 18:55