Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 6.10
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Heerenveen (Local): 61.65%; Fortuna Sittard (Visit): 17.86%; Draw: 20.49%. For Fortuna Sittard (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.94%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +8.94%E +1.47%K +1.75%G +0.157% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV +0.393%E +0.080%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.11%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.61%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV +1.08%E +0.191%K +0.232%G +0.003% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.47%EV -4.11%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-20 07:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 07:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -8.14%E -5.46%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -6.78%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.75%E -5.92%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:47 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.44%E -2.86%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.56%E -0.659%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.44%E -2.86%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.56%E -0.659%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 07:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.92%E -3.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.47%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -7.13%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.21%EV -7.31%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.02%EV -3.30%E -0.698%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 04:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -4.73%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 04:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -4.73%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.78%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 16:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 07:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 07:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-20 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -23.17%E -6.18%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 16:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -14.28%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.06%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.77% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |