Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Heerenveen v Fortuna Sittard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 16:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Heerenveen (Local)

Prévision 61.65%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -5.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.53%61.66%61.59%64.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5770.92%66.94%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.86%5.60cote équitable
EV +8.94%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.75%
Croissance +0.157%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.86%17.85%17.91%19.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.305.206.1022.22%18.86%19.23%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.49%4.88cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +0.488%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.35%20.49%20.50%22.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.554.555.0026.67%21.99%21.98%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Heerenveen (Local) : 61.65% ; Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur) : 17.86% ; Match nul : 20.49%. Pour Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.60. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.10, soit une espérance positive de +8.94%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +8.94%E +1.47%K +1.75%G +0.157%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015%3.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015%3.3%2026-04-23 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015%3.3%2026-04-23 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV +0.393%E +0.080%K +0.101%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.11%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:15
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:15
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:15
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:15
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:15
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.61%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV +1.08%E +0.191%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.47%EV -4.11%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 13:10
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 07:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 07:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -8.14%E -5.46%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -6.78%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.75%E -5.92%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:47
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.44%E -2.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.56%E -0.659%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:45
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.44%E -2.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.56%E -0.659%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 07:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.92%E -3.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.47%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -7.13%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 04:49
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.21%EV -7.31%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.02%EV -3.30%E -0.698%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 04:05
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -4.73%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 04:01
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -4.73%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.78%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:49
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:15
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:09
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 07:25
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 21:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -23.17%E -6.18%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 16:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 03:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -14.28%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.06%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.77%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%4.8%2026-04-24 03:40