مدرسة الاحتمالات

Heerenveen v Fortuna Sittard

البداية: 2026-04-25 16:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Heerenveen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.65%1.62السعر العادل
EV -3.21%
الأفضلية -2.04%
Kelly -5.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.53%61.66%61.59%64.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.411.491.501.5770.92%66.94%66.67%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortuna Sittard (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.86%5.60السعر العادل
EV +8.94%
الأفضلية +1.47%
Kelly +1.75%
النمو +0.157%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.86%17.85%17.91%19.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.305.206.1022.22%18.86%19.23%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.49%4.88السعر العادل
EV +2.44%
الأفضلية +0.488%
Kelly +0.610%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.35%20.49%20.50%22.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.554.555.0026.67%21.99%21.98%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +8.94%E +1.47%K +1.75%G +0.157%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015%3.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015%3.3%2026-04-23 21:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +2.44%E +0.488%K +0.610%G +0.015%3.3%2026-04-23 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.15%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV +0.393%E +0.080%K +0.101%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:15
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.11%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:15
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:15
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:15
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:15
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:15
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.746%G +0.027%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:15
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:15
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:15
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.566%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:15
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.61%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV +1.08%E +0.191%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.47%EV -4.11%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 17:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 13:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 07:24
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.66%E -0.345%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:34
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 07:23
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -8.14%E -5.46%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -6.78%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 17:34
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.75%E -5.92%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.77%E -0.323%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:47
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.44%E -2.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.56%E -0.659%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.44%E -2.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.56%E -0.659%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 22:34
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 07:24
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:10
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.92%E -3.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.47%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -7.13%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 04:49
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.21%EV -7.31%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.02%EV -3.30%E -0.698%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 04:05
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -4.73%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 04:01
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -4.73%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 20:35
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.78%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:49
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:45
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:50
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:49
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:15
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:15
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:09
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 10:24
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 07:25
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 21:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 07:25
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -23.17%E -6.18%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 16:49
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 03:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -14.28%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.06%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 17:45
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.29%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 15:49
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 17:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.77%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%4.8%2026-04-24 03:40