A Escola das Odds

Groningen v NEC Nijmegen

Início: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Final: Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Groningen (Local)

Previsão 34.36%2.91odd justa
EV +1.35%
Vantagem +0.458%
Kelly +0.693%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.21%34.36%34.37%35.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.732.752.9539.22%36.59%36.36%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

NEC Nijmegen (Visitante)

Previsão 39.73%2.52odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.595%
Kelly -0.998%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.87%39.66%39.71%41.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.322.352.4847.62%43.05%42.55%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.92%3.86odd justa
EV -0.221%
Vantagem -0.057%
Kelly -0.077%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.84%25.97%25.92%27.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.583.603.8533.33%27.95%27.78%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV +1.35%E +0.458%K +0.693%G +0.009%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -0.221%E -0.057%K -0.077%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -2.09%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -2.09%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -2.77%E -0.980%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.77%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -4.89%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:25
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.93%EV -2.77%E -0.980%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.68%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:34
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:23
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:24
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:34
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:31
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:35
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:23
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:25
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:23
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:24
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:25
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:24
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 14:34
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.03%EV -8.27%E -3.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.74%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 14:32
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -8.61%E -3.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -1.48%E -0.595%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -8.61%E -3.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -1.48%E -0.595%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 14:24
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -16.57%E -7.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -22.25%E -7.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-10 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -12.39%E -4.86%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-05-10 14:24