L’École des cotes

Groningen v NEC Nijmegen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Score final : Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Groningen (Local)

Prévision 34.36%2.91cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.458%
Kelly +0.693%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.21%34.36%34.37%35.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.732.752.9539.22%36.59%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.73%2.52cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -0.998%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.87%39.66%39.71%41.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.352.4847.62%43.05%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.221%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.077%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.84%25.97%25.92%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.583.603.8533.33%27.95%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV +1.35%E +0.458%K +0.693%G +0.009%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -0.221%E -0.057%K -0.077%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -2.09%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -2.09%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -2.77%E -0.980%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.77%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -4.89%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:25
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.93%EV -2.77%E -0.980%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.68%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:34
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:23
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:24
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:34
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:31
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:35
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:23
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:25
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:23
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:24
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:25
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:24
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 14:34
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.03%EV -8.27%E -3.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.74%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 14:32
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -8.61%E -3.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -1.48%E -0.595%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -8.61%E -3.24%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -1.48%E -0.595%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 14:24
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -16.57%E -7.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -22.25%E -7.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-10 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -12.39%E -4.86%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-05-10 14:24