La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Groningen v NEC Nijmegen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Groningen (Local)
Predicción 34.36%2.91momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.458%
Kelly +0.693%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.21%34.36%34.37%35.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.752.9539.22%36.59%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
NEC Nijmegen (Visitante)
Predicción 39.73%2.52momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -0.998%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.87%39.66%39.71%41.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.352.4847.62%43.05%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.221%
Ventaja -0.057%
Kelly -0.077%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%25.97%25.92%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.583.603.8533.33%27.95%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.98%EV +1.35%E +0.458%K +0.693%G +0.009% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -0.221%E -0.057%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -2.09%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -2.09%E -0.732%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -2.77%E -0.980%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.77%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -4.89%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.93%EV -2.77%E -0.980%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.68%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bovada | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:31 |
| BetAnything | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetUS | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.49%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -13.39%E -6.14%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.03%EV -8.27%E -3.10%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.74%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -8.61%E -3.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -1.48%E -0.595%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -8.61%E -3.24%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -1.48%E -0.595%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -16.57%E -7.89%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -22.25%E -7.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -12.39%E -4.86%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |