The School of Odds

Groningen v FC Utrecht

2026-08-09 12:30 — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Option 1: Groningen (Local)

2.1047.62%Min
2.3143.36%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.4341.15%Max
39.05%2.561Min
40.65%2.460Max
39.62%2.524Mean
39.59%2.526Median
39.59%2.526IQM
39.64%2.523Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.43 under the IQM model: 39.59%

EV -3.80%Edge -1.57%Kelly -2.66%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Utrecht (Visit)

2.5040.00%Min
2.6937.12%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.8335.34%Max
33.23%3.009Min
34.63%2.888Max
33.90%2.950Mean
33.87%2.952Median
33.85%2.954IQM
33.89%2.951Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.83 under the IQM model: 33.85%

EV -4.19%Edge -1.48%Kelly -2.29%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.2031.25%Min
3.4528.97%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.6227.62%Max
25.83%3.872Min
26.92%3.715Max
26.48%3.776Mean
26.54%3.768Median
26.56%3.765IQM
26.47%3.778Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.62 under the IQM model: 26.56%

EV -3.85%Edge -1.06%Kelly -1.47%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGroningen (Local) ▼FC Utrecht (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.43I 41.15% NM 39.53%EV -3.80% E -1.57% K -2.66% G +0.000%2.83I 35.34% NM 33.94%EV -4.19% E -1.48% K -2.29% G +0.000%3.62I 27.62% NM 26.53%EV -3.85% E -1.06% K -1.47% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 13:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.38%EV -4.99% E -2.08% K -3.57% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.25%EV -4.38% E -1.22% K -1.69% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 11:04
Fanatics2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -4.99% E -2.08% K -3.57% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.80%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 11:12
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37% NM 39.55%EV -6.58% E -2.79% K -4.83% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.52I 28.41% NM 26.51%EV -6.51% E -1.85% K -2.58% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 13:35
SportsBet2.35I 42.55% NM 39.63%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.50%EV -8.60% E -3.18% K -5.06% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.87%EV -4.38% E -1.22% K -1.69% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 11:05
FanDuel2.35I 42.55% NM 39.63%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.50%EV -8.60% E -3.18% K -5.06% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.87%EV -4.38% E -1.22% K -1.69% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 11:03
BetRivers2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 11:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -6.97% E -2.97% K -5.16% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:19
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92% NM 39.64%EV -7.76% E -3.33% K -5.84% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.59%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.77%EV -8.37% E -2.43% K -3.42% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 11:04
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.65%EV -8.95% E -3.89% K -6.88% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -5.21% E -1.86% K -2.89% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -4.38% E -1.22% K -1.69% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 11:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.80%EV -8.95% E -3.89% K -6.88% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -6.90% E -2.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.92%EV -9.70% E -2.85% K -4.04% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-06 11:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -8.95% E -3.89% K -6.88% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -11.30% E -4.31% K -6.98% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -7.04% E -2.01% K -2.82% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 11:53
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48% NM 39.05%EV -8.95% E -3.89% K -6.88% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 34.54%EV -11.98% E -4.61% K -7.49% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.41%EV -9.70% E -2.85% K -4.04% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 11:05
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86% NM 39.35%EV -9.74% E -4.27% K -7.61% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 33.86%EV -10.29% E -3.88% K -6.24% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.78%EV -11.02% E -3.29% K -4.69% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86% NM 39.35%EV -9.74% E -4.27% K -7.61% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 33.86%EV -10.29% E -3.88% K -6.24% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.78%EV -11.02% E -3.29% K -4.69% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86% NM 39.35%EV -9.74% E -4.27% K -7.61% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 33.86%EV -10.29% E -3.88% K -6.24% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.78%EV -11.02% E -3.29% K -4.69% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:20
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 39.11%EV -12.91% E -5.87% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.42%EV -15.37% E -6.15% K -10.24% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.47%EV -13.68% E -4.21% K -6.08% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-06 11:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51% NM 40.24%EV -14.89% E -6.92% K -12.95% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.93%EV -13.67% E -5.36% K -8.82% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.83%EV -11.02% E -3.29% K -4.69% G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-06 11:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 40.19%EV -14.89% E -6.92% K -12.95% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.23%EV -11.98% E -4.61% K -7.49% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.58%EV -13.68% E -4.21% K -6.08% G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-06 11:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 40.06%EV -16.87% E -8.03% K -15.33% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 33.65%EV -15.37% E -6.15% K -10.24% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.29%EV -15.01% E -4.69% K -6.82% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-06 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerGroningen (Local)FC Utrecht (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-06 11:55