La escuela de los momios

Groningen v FC Utrecht

2026-08-09 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Groningen (Local)

Predicción 40.47%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.35%40.55%40.46%41.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.72%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Predicción 32.34%3.09momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.990%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.12%32.32%32.43%33.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.812.833.0039.22%35.65%35.40%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.590%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.64%27.14%27.12%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.463.6032.26%29.32%28.94%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.22%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 11:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -5.56%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 07:50
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -5.56%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 07:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 13:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 13:44
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -5.93%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 11:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 11:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:29
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.11%E -2.63%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -4.59%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 11:25
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.39%EV -6.52%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.17%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 11:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 13:45
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 13:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 11:23
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 11:22
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -7.17%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.97%E -0.990%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 11:25
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 13:45
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.44%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:44
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 11:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 12:25
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 12:25
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 12:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.85%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -7.73%E -3.39%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -14.29%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -7.73%E -3.39%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -14.29%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -7.73%E -3.39%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -14.29%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:20
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 13:45
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 13:43
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -4.59%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 13:44
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -14.94%E -5.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 06:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.97%E -4.99%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-22 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.97%E -4.99%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-22 13:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.06%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 13:45
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.10%EV -11.70%E -4.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.13%EV -12.18%E -3.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 12:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -14.29%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.98%EV -14.94%E -5.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.16%EV -15.02%E -7.15%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.07%EV -17.52%E -6.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.77%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-22 13:44
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.09%EV -15.02%E -7.15%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 32.76%EV -16.88%E -6.57%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.16%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.48%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-25 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-07-26 07:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-07-26 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-07-26 07:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%5.6%2026-07-26 07:45