Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Groningen v FC Utrecht

Início: 2026-08-09 12:30 UTC

Final: Groningen 2–1 FC Utrecht

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Groningen (Local)

Previsão 42.79%2.34odd justa
EV -0.301%
Vantagem -0.129%
Kelly -0.226%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.34%42.71%42.73%43.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.202.3348.78%45.86%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Previsão 30.09%3.32odd justa
EV +0.799%
Vantagem +0.238%
Kelly +0.340%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.85%30.20%30.18%31.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.103.103.3534.72%32.30%32.26%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.12%3.69odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.656%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.55%27.09%27.09%28.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.453.6031.25%29.33%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Groningen (Local): 42.79%; FC Utrecht (Visitante): 30.09%; Empate: 27.12%. Para FC Utrecht (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.32. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.799%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -4.58%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV +0.799%E +0.238%K +0.340%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -4.58%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV +0.799%E +0.238%K +0.340%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -4.58%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV +0.799%E +0.238%K +0.340%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 12:15
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.39%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.55%EV -1.91%E -0.586%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 12:24
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -2.21%E -0.680%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.03%EV -3.45%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.54%EV -7.15%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.21%E -0.680%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 12:15
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -1.58%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -1.58%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -1.58%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 11:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:15
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 12:15
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 12:15
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 12:15
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -7.15%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:24
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 12:19
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 12:13
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 12:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -6.12%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.36%E -0.656%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -6.12%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.36%E -0.656%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:24
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%EV -0.301%E -0.129%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%EV -3.18%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 12:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -9.29%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.23%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -8.23%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -1.58%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -2.36%E -0.656%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 12:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 12:15
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -11.24%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -11.24%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 12:05
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 11:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 06:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 06:20
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 06:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 06:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 12:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-09 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-09 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-09 12:20
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-09 12:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-09 12:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-09 12:15