Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.80
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Groningen (Local): 26.74%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 49.47%; Draw: 23.79%. For Groningen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +1.63%E +0.429%K +0.582%G +0.009% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.47%E -5.18%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -0.243%E -0.065%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.44%EV -1.52%E -0.367%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -3.66%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -1.85%E -0.503%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -1.85%E -0.503%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -1.85%E -0.503%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.47%E -0.603%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.47%E -0.603%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.47%E -0.603%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.092%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 10:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.092%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.99%E -4.30%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -8.53%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -7.70%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.86%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.47%E -5.18%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -11.95%E -6.71%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.15%EV -7.99%E -4.30%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.66%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.66%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.39%EV -10.46%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.47%E -5.18%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -17.09%E -5.51%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.26% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |