Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Groningen v FC Twente Enschede

Início: 2026-09-06 10:15 UTC

Final: Groningen 2–2 FC Twente Enschede

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Groningen (Local)

Previsão 26.74%3.74odd justa
EV +1.63%
Vantagem +0.429%
Kelly +0.582%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.53%26.81%26.75%28.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.473.453.8032.26%28.81%28.99%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Twente Enschede (Visitante)

Previsão 49.47%2.02odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.69%49.46%49.41%50.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.881.881.9856.18%53.08%53.05%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.79%4.20odd justa
EV -0.092%
Vantagem -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.16%23.74%23.84%24.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.68%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Groningen (Local): 26.74%; FC Twente Enschede (Visitante): 49.47%; Empate: 23.79%. Para Groningen (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.74. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +1.63%E +0.429%K +0.582%G +0.009%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.47%E -5.18%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 10:00
1xBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -0.243%E -0.065%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.44%EV -1.52%E -0.367%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Pinnacle🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -3.66%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 10:05
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:09
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -6.01%E -3.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -1.85%E -0.503%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -1.85%E -0.503%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 10:00
BetAnything🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -1.85%E -0.503%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.47%E -0.603%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.47%E -0.603%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.47%E -0.603%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 10:00
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.092%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:08
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.092%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:10
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:10
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.99%E -4.30%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:10
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 10:10
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 10:05
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.06%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 09:55
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:10
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.00%E -3.72%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 09:55
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 10:10
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 09:59
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -8.53%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -7.70%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 09:50
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 08:35
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 08:35
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.86%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 10:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 10:10
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.47%E -5.18%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 10:05
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 10:10
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:00
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -8.48%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -11.95%E -6.71%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.15%EV -7.99%E -4.30%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.66%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.66%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.39%EV -10.46%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.47%E -5.18%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 09:40
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 09:50
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 09:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -17.09%E -5.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.26%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34%0.2%2026-09-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-06 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-06 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-06 10:10
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-06 10:10