Oddsskolan

Groningen v Excelsior

Matchstart: 2026-05-02 16:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Groningen 2–3 Excelsior

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Groningen (Hemma)

Prognos 55.05%1.82rättvist odds
EV -3.67%
Fördel -2.10%
Kelly -4.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.15%55.09%55.10%56.86%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.581.681.701.7563.29%59.37%58.82%57.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Excelsior (Borta)

Prognos 21.16%4.73rättvist odds
EV +1.57%
Fördel +0.327%
Kelly +0.413%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.91%21.13%21.15%22.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.444.454.8025.00%22.54%22.47%20.83%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.79%4.20rättvist odds
EV +1.12%
Fördel +0.263%
Kelly +0.344%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.80%23.78%23.76%25.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.403.913.904.2529.41%25.55%25.64%23.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.86%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%EV +1.57%E +0.327%K +0.413%G +0.006%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV +1.12%E +0.263%K +0.344%G +0.004%2.8%2026-05-02 16:40
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.16%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.41%EV +0.087%E +0.018%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.47%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.548%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.47%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.548%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -0.548%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:05
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.95%EV -2.03%E -0.438%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV -2.21%E -0.538%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:31
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:35
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -7.52%E -4.48%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 16:41
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.63%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.63%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 16:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.77%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -3.72%E -0.818%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:28
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.77%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -3.72%E -0.818%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 07:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:23
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 16:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 16:20
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 16:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 16:40
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.97%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 16:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.94%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -5.84%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -7.68%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:31
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:31
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 07:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 07:54
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 07:39
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.37%E -7.06%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:40
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.37%E -7.06%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.37%E -7.06%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.32%E -3.09%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.95%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -11.97%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 07:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:35
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:35
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:35
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.35%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 06:35
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -6.49%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 08:01
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 08:01
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.52%E -4.48%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 08:01
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -13.03%E -8.24%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -11.97%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -13.24%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 07:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -9.72%E -5.93%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 07:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -19.10%E -5.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-02 16:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:29
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%3.1%2026-05-02 05:16
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.63%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%3.3%2026-05-02 16:40