مدرسة الاحتمالات

Groningen v Excelsior

البداية: 2026-05-02 16:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Groningen 2–3 Excelsior

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Groningen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.05%1.82السعر العادل
EV -3.67%
الأفضلية -2.10%
Kelly -4.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.15%55.09%55.10%56.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.681.701.7563.29%59.37%58.82%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Excelsior (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.16%4.73السعر العادل
EV +1.57%
الأفضلية +0.327%
Kelly +0.413%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.91%21.13%21.15%22.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.444.454.8025.00%22.54%22.47%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.79%4.20السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.263%
Kelly +0.344%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.80%23.78%23.76%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.913.904.2529.41%25.55%25.64%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.86%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%EV +1.57%E +0.327%K +0.413%G +0.006%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV +1.12%E +0.263%K +0.344%G +0.004%2.8%2026-05-02 16:40
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.16%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.41%EV +0.087%E +0.018%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.47%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.548%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.47%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.548%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -0.070%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -0.548%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:05
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.95%EV -2.03%E -0.438%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV -2.21%E -0.538%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:31
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:35
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -7.52%E -4.48%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 16:41
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.63%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.63%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -2.66%E -0.579%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 16:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.77%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -3.72%E -0.818%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:28
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.77%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -3.72%E -0.818%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 07:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.45%E -0.597%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:23
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 16:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 16:20
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 16:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 16:40
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.97%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 16:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.94%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -5.84%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -7.68%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:31
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:31
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -3.67%E -2.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 07:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 07:54
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 07:39
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.37%E -7.06%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:40
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.37%E -7.06%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -11.37%E -7.06%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.32%E -3.09%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.95%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -11.97%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 07:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:35
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:35
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 16:35
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.35%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 06:35
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -6.49%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 08:01
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.27%E -6.30%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.78%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 08:01
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.52%E -4.48%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.40%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 08:01
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -13.03%E -8.24%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -11.97%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -13.24%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 07:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.59%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -9.72%E -5.93%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -7.21%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 07:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -19.10%E -5.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-02 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:29
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 16:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%3.1%2026-05-02 05:16
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.63%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%3.3%2026-05-02 16:40