Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Go Ahead Eagles (Local): 44.30%; NAC Breda (Visit): 28.80%; Draw: 26.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.892%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV +0.892%E +0.238%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV -1.80%E -0.493%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.62%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.62%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV +0.221%E +0.063%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -1.51%E -0.441%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.37%EV -5.65%E -2.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +0.797%E +0.228%K +0.319%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -7.42%E -3.55%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.54%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.75%E -4.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -9.64%E -4.72%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -9.64%E -4.72%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 11:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 11:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.26%EV -12.74%E -6.47%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.13%EV -8.71%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 09:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -14.06%E -7.25%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.25%EV -14.95%E -7.79%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-15 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.97%EV -18.05%E -9.76%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -15.04%E -5.10%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -16.60%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-15 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 12:00 |