La scuola delle quote

Go Ahead Eagles v NAC Breda

Inizio: 2026-03-15 15:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Casa)

Previsione 44.30%2.26quota equa
EV -3.43%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.86%44.35%44.23%46.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.092.102.1854.05%47.77%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

NAC Breda (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.80%3.47quota equa
EV +0.797%
Vantaggio +0.228%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%28.81%28.81%30.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.243.253.5033.90%30.91%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.90%3.72quota equa
EV +0.892%
Vantaggio +0.238%
Kelly +0.324%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.52%26.85%26.96%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.453.503.7533.33%29.02%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV +0.892%E +0.238%K +0.324%G +0.003%4.5%2026-03-15 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV -1.80%E -0.493%K -0.679%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 14:50
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 12:35
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 12:35
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.62%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.62%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:50
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV +0.221%E +0.063%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 15:40
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -1.51%E -0.441%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 09:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 09:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:10
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:40
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.37%EV -5.65%E -2.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 09:45
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 09:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 09:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:39
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:50
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +0.797%E +0.228%K +0.319%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -7.42%E -3.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.54%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:35
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:34
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:35
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 15:35
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:50
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -8.75%E -4.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 14:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -9.64%E -4.72%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -9.64%E -4.72%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 14:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 11:58
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:55
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.26%EV -12.74%E -6.47%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.13%EV -8.71%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 15:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 09:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 09:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 09:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 09:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -14.06%E -7.25%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 14:40
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.25%EV -14.95%E -7.79%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 15:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.97%EV -18.05%E -9.76%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -15.04%E -5.10%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -16.60%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-03-15 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-03-15 15:35
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-03-15 15:35
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-03-15 12:00