Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Go Ahead Eagles v FC Zwolle

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 10:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prediction 51.32%1.95fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.19%51.31%51.40%53.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.831.8958.48%55.24%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zwolle (Visit)

Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +0.807%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.45%24.38%26.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.823.804.2029.41%26.17%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.26%4.12fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.589%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.24%24.22%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.15%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Go Ahead Eagles (Local): 51.32%; FC Zwolle (Visit): 24.42%; Draw: 24.26%. For FC Zwolle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +2.58%E +0.615%K +0.807%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.88%E +0.449%K +0.589%G +0.011%3.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.67%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -0.838%E -0.206%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 10:00
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:04
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 10:04
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:03
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:04
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:04
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.60%E -3.63%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:09
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:04
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.69%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.67%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 10:05
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.10%E -4.31%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.63%EV -12.25%E -7.16%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -11.46%E -3.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 10:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -10.71%E -6.15%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -11.34%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 09:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 10:09
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.72%EV -9.68%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.29%E -3.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:00
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -11.22%E -6.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -19.95%E -6.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-05 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-04-05 10:00