La escuela de los momios

Go Ahead Eagles v FC Zwolle

Inicio: 2026-04-05 10:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Predicción 51.32%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.19%51.31%51.40%53.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.811.831.8958.48%55.24%54.64%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zwolle (Visitante)

Predicción 24.42%4.09momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.615%
Kelly +0.807%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.45%24.38%26.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.823.804.2029.41%26.17%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.26%4.12momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.449%
Kelly +0.589%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.24%24.22%25.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.15%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +2.58%E +0.615%K +0.807%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.88%E +0.449%K +0.589%G +0.011%3.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.67%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -0.838%E -0.206%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 10:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:09
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:04
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:09
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 10:04
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:03
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:04
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:04
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.60%E -3.63%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:09
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:59
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:04
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 10:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.69%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:09
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:04
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.67%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 10:05
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.10%E -4.31%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:05
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.63%EV -12.25%E -7.16%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -11.46%E -3.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 10:04
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -10.71%E -6.15%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -11.34%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 09:58
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 10:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.72%EV -9.68%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.29%E -3.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -11.22%E -6.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -19.95%E -6.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-05 10:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-04-05 10:00