L’École des cotes

Go Ahead Eagles v FC Zwolle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 10:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prévision 51.32%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -3.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.19%51.31%51.40%53.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.811.831.8958.48%55.24%54.64%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Zwolle (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.42%4.09cote équitable
EV +2.58%
Avantage +0.615%
Kelly +0.807%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%24.45%24.38%26.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.823.804.2029.41%26.17%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.26%4.12cote équitable
EV +1.88%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +0.589%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%24.24%24.22%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.804.2030.30%26.15%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +2.58%E +0.615%K +0.807%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.88%E +0.449%K +0.589%G +0.011%3.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.67%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -0.838%E -0.206%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -4.42%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 10:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:09
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:04
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:09
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 10:04
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:03
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:04
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:04
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.60%E -3.63%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:09
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:59
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:04
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 10:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.69%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:09
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:09
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.14%E -4.55%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:04
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.82%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.17%E -5.18%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.67%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 10:05
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 10:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.10%E -4.31%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:05
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.63%EV -12.25%E -7.16%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -11.46%E -3.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 10:04
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -10.71%E -6.15%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -11.34%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 09:58
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.97%E -0.742%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 10:09
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.39%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.72%EV -9.68%E -5.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.29%E -3.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 10:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.19%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -11.22%E -6.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -19.95%E -6.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-05 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-05 10:10
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-05 10:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-04-05 10:00