Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 5.36
assuming max odds 4.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 58.58%; SC Cambuur (Visit): 19.48%; Draw: 21.94%. For SC Cambuur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.42%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.77%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 18.09%EV +4.42%E +0.824%K +1.01%G +0.045% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.14%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +2.28%E +0.433%K +0.535%G +0.012% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV +3.10%E +0.660%K +0.838%G +0.026% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -0.647%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -0.647%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.49%EV -3.57%E -0.721%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.11%EV -3.57%E -0.721%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -8.96%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.52%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.22%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.58%EV -9.41%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.45%E -3.70%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -14.28%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -14.28%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -16.23%E -3.77%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -22.08%E -5.52%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.36% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |