Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fortuna Sittard v SC Cambuur

Início: 2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Final: Fortuna Sittard 3–1 SC Cambuur

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Previsão 58.58%1.71odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.25%58.37%58.57%60.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.591.601.6766.23%63.01%62.70%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SC Cambuur (Visitante)

Previsão 19.48%5.13odd justa
EV +4.42%
Vantagem +0.824%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.09%19.62%19.48%22.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.804.785.3625.00%20.82%20.94%18.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.94%4.56odd justa
EV +3.10%
Vantagem +0.660%
Kelly +0.838%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.69%22.00%21.94%23.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.244.254.7025.64%23.58%23.53%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 58.58%; SC Cambuur (Visitante): 19.48%; Empate: 21.94%. Para SC Cambuur (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.13. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.36, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.77%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.09%EV +4.42%E +0.824%K +1.01%G +0.045%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.14%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +2.28%E +0.433%K +0.535%G +0.012%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV +3.10%E +0.660%K +0.838%G +0.026%2.8%2026-08-15 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-15 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-15 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -0.647%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -0.647%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:03
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.49%EV -3.57%E -0.721%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.11%EV -3.57%E -0.721%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:54
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -8.96%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:35
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.52%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.22%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:34
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:15
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.58%EV -9.41%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.45%E -3.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 18:34
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:39
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -14.28%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -14.28%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -16.23%E -3.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -22.08%E -5.52%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%0.3%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-15 18:45
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.36%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-08-15 18:30
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-15 18:55