Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fortuna Sittard v SC Cambuur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Score final : Fortuna Sittard 3–1 SC Cambuur

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prévision 58.58%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.25%58.37%58.57%60.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.601.6766.23%63.01%62.70%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Cambuur (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.48%5.13cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +0.824%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 5.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.09%19.62%19.48%22.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.804.785.3625.00%20.82%20.94%18.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.94%4.56cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +0.660%
Kelly +0.838%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%22.00%21.94%23.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.244.254.7025.64%23.58%23.53%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortuna Sittard (Local) : 58.58% ; SC Cambuur (Visiteur) : 19.48% ; Match nul : 21.94%. Pour SC Cambuur (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.13. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.36, soit une espérance positive de +4.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.77%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.09%EV +4.42%E +0.824%K +1.01%G +0.045%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.14%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +2.28%E +0.433%K +0.535%G +0.012%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV +3.10%E +0.660%K +0.838%G +0.026%2.8%2026-08-15 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-15 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +1.30%E +0.250%K +0.310%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-15 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -0.647%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -0.647%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:03
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.60%E -0.519%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.49%EV -3.57%E -0.721%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.11%EV -3.57%E -0.721%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:54
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -8.96%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:35
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.54%E -0.927%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.52%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.49%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.22%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:34
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:15
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -7.47%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -8.44%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.58%EV -9.41%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.03%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -10.39%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.45%E -3.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 18:34
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:39
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -14.28%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -14.28%E -3.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -16.23%E -3.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -22.08%E -5.52%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%0.3%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-15 18:45
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.36%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-08-15 18:30
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-15 18:55