L’École des cotes

Fortuna Sittard v NAC Breda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 10:15 UTC

Score final : Fortuna Sittard 1–1 NAC Breda

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prévision 34.03%2.94cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.695%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.46%33.93%34.01%34.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.522.772.753.0039.68%36.10%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NAC Breda (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.87%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.96%38.98%38.87%40.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.17%42.02%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.449%
Kelly -0.620%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%27.10%27.12%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.453.6333.33%29.24%28.99%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV +2.09%E +0.695%K +1.04%G +0.022%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV +0.384%E +0.130%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.87%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 10:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +0.384%E +0.130%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.32%E -0.454%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.454%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.00%E -0.694%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -2.00%E -0.694%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -2.34%E -0.815%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.65%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 09:40
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 09:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:40
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:00
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:00
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.90%EV -3.70%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.69%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 09:45
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.59%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -1.63%E -0.449%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 10:00
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 09:39
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 09:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 09:39
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 09:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 09:39
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.17%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 09:44
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:45
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 09:40
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:45
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.32%E -2.62%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 09:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 09:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 09:40
BetAnything2.74I 36.50%NM 34.23%EV -6.76%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:00
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 34.39%EV -7.10%E -2.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.79%EV -5.93%E -2.45%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 33.39%EV -7.44%E -2.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 09:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:00
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 09:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 09:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 10:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 09:40
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.82%E -3.71%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 09:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-12 09:30
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.23%E -5.19%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 09:45
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.95%EV -14.25%E -5.65%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.55%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-12 10:00
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-04-12 09:45
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.63%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.42%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%4.0%2026-04-12 10:00