مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortuna Sittard v NAC Breda

البداية: 2026-04-12 10:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortuna Sittard 1–1 NAC Breda

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortuna Sittard (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.03%2.94السعر العادل
EV +2.09%
الأفضلية +0.695%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.46%33.93%34.01%34.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.522.772.753.0039.68%36.10%36.36%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

NAC Breda (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.87%2.57السعر العادل
EV -2.82%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -1.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.96%38.98%38.87%40.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.17%42.02%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.10%3.69السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.449%
Kelly -0.620%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.41%27.10%27.12%28.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.423.453.6333.33%29.24%28.99%27.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV +2.09%E +0.695%K +1.04%G +0.022%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV +0.384%E +0.130%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.87%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 10:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV +0.384%E +0.130%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.32%E -0.454%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.454%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -2.00%E -0.694%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -2.00%E -0.694%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -2.34%E -0.815%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.65%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 09:40
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 09:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:40
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:00
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:00
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.90%EV -3.70%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.69%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 09:45
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.59%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -1.63%E -0.449%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 10:00
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 09:39
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 09:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 09:39
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -7.87%E -3.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 09:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 09:39
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.17%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.44%E -0.678%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 09:44
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:00
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:45
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 09:40
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:45
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.32%E -2.62%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 09:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 09:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 09:40
BetAnything2.74I 36.50%NM 34.23%EV -6.76%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:00
BetUS2.73I 36.63%NM 34.39%EV -7.10%E -2.60%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.79%EV -5.93%E -2.45%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 33.39%EV -7.44%E -2.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 09:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:00
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 09:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 09:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 10:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 09:40
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.82%E -3.71%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 09:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-12 09:30
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.23%E -5.19%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 09:45
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.95%EV -14.25%E -5.65%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 10:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.55%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%0.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-12 10:00
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-04-12 09:45
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-04-12 10:00
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.63%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.42%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%4.0%2026-04-12 10:00