La scuola delle quote

Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord

Inizio: 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

Finale: Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Feyenoord

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Casa)

Previsione 19.39%5.16quota equa
EV +1.79%
Vantaggio +0.341%
Kelly +0.421%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.05%19.40%19.50%20.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.844.905.2523.26%20.68%20.41%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Feyenoord (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.66%1.70quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.76%58.59%58.61%59.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.591.601.6666.67%63.05%62.50%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.96%4.55quota equa
EV +1.87%
Vantaggio +0.403%
Kelly +0.514%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.85%22.00%21.89%24.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.204.204.6428.57%23.80%23.81%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV -10.04%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.87%E +0.403%K +0.514%G +0.010%3.3%2026-05-03 12:26
Unibet (NL)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV +1.79%E +0.341%K +0.421%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 12:15
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 12:16
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 12:15
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:06
Pinnacle5.11I 19.57%NM 18.88%EV -0.927%E -0.181%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 12:24
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 12:15
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:16
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 12:10
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 12:15
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:16
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:06
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:25
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 12:15
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 12:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 12:26
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:06
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:15
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:15
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.85%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.05%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:08
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:06
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:06
BetUS4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:15
BetAnything4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:05
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:15
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:09
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -16.63%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 12:06
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 12:05
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:20
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 12:10
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 12:10
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:20
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.97%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:25
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:25
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 12:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -17.67%E -4.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -23.16%E -6.62%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-03 12:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%-0.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-03 12:25
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-03 12:20