La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64
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| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV -10.04%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.87%E +0.403%K +0.514%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 12:26 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV +1.79%E +0.341%K +0.421%G +0.008% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 12:16 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| Pinnacle | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.88%EV -0.927%E -0.181%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 12:16 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 12:16 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Betsson | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 12:26 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.85%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.05%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 12:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| BetUS | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| BetAnything | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Bovada | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -16.63%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| FanDuel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.97%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:26 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:26 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:26 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 12:04 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Sky Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -17.67%E -4.71%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -23.16%E -6.62%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | -0.0% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Matchbook | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |