مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord

البداية: 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Feyenoord

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortuna Sittard (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.39%5.16السعر العادل
EV +1.79%
الأفضلية +0.341%
Kelly +0.421%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.05%19.40%19.50%20.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.844.905.2523.26%20.68%20.41%19.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Feyenoord (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.66%1.70السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -1.58%
Kelly -3.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.76%58.59%58.61%59.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.591.601.6666.67%63.05%62.50%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.96%4.55السعر العادل
EV +1.87%
الأفضلية +0.403%
Kelly +0.514%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.85%22.00%21.89%24.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.204.204.6428.57%23.80%23.81%21.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV -10.04%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.87%E +0.403%K +0.514%G +0.010%3.3%2026-05-03 12:26
Unibet (NL)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV +1.79%E +0.341%K +0.421%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 12:15
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 12:16
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 12:15
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:06
Pinnacle5.11I 19.57%NM 18.88%EV -0.927%E -0.181%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 12:24
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 12:15
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:16
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 12:10
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 12:15
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:16
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:06
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:25
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 12:15
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 12:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 12:26
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:06
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:15
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:15
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.85%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.05%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:08
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:06
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:06
BetUS4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:15
BetAnything4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:05
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:15
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:09
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -16.63%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 12:06
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 12:05
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:20
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 12:10
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 12:10
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:20
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.97%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:25
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:25
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 12:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -17.67%E -4.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -23.16%E -6.62%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-03 12:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%-0.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-03 12:25
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-03 12:20