L’École des cotes

Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

Score final : Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Feyenoord

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prévision 19.39%5.16cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.341%
Kelly +0.421%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.05%19.40%19.50%20.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.844.905.2523.26%20.68%20.41%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Feyenoord (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.66%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%58.59%58.61%59.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6666.67%63.05%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.96%4.55cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.514%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.85%22.00%21.89%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.204.204.6428.57%23.80%23.81%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV -10.04%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.87%E +0.403%K +0.514%G +0.010%3.3%2026-05-03 12:26
Unibet (NL)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV +1.79%E +0.341%K +0.421%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 12:15
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 12:16
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -0.999%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 12:15
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.50%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:06
Pinnacle5.11I 19.57%NM 18.88%EV -0.927%E -0.181%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 12:24
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 12:15
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:16
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 12:10
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 12:15
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -1.12%E -0.220%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:16
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:06
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:25
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 12:15
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 12:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 12:26
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:06
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:15
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:15
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.85%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.05%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:08
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:06
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:06
BetUS4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:15
BetAnything4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:05
Bovada4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.03%E -0.814%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:15
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:15
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:09
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:15
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -16.63%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 12:06
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 12:05
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +0.818%E +0.157%K +0.195%G +0.002%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:20
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 12:10
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.98%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 12:10
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:20
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -5.97%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:25
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:25
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:26
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 12:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.91%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -17.67%E -4.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.01%E -8.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -23.16%E -6.62%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-03 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%-0.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-03 12:25
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-03 12:20