Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.25
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 16.32%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 63.12%; Draw: 20.56%. For Fortuna Sittard (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV +0.189%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -2.79%E -1.81%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -0.301%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV -3.58%E -0.763%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 10:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -3.42%E -2.24%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -3.42%E -2.24%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -7.84%E -5.37%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -10.57%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -10.57%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.05%E -2.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -8.51%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.05%E -2.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -8.51%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.36%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.62%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.42%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.86%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -1.32%E -0.275%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.65%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -12.89%E -9.34%K -33.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -13.52%E -9.87%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -13.65%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-21 15:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.33%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.77%EV -10.36%E -7.30%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 15:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -14.33%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -7.84%E -5.37%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.36%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 62.25%EV -15.41%E -11.50%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.39%EV -19.82%E -5.08%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -11.63%E -8.30%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -22.90%E -6.11%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -21.68%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -11.60%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 15:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 15.00% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.98% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.01% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 15:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 15:24 |