L’École des cotes

Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente Enschede

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prévision 16.32%6.13cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.317%
Kelly +0.378%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.21%16.38%16.34%18.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.745.756.2520.83%17.42%17.39%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Twente Enschede (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.12%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -5.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.48%63.06%63.09%64.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.471.481.5474.63%68.05%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.56%4.86cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.275%
Kelly -0.347%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.71%20.56%20.57%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.464.504.8026.67%22.40%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:40
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:25
1xBet6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV +0.189%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -2.79%E -1.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Pinnacle6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -0.301%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV -3.58%E -0.763%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 10:19
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -3.42%E -2.24%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 15:09
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -3.42%E -2.24%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 15:05
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 09:30
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -7.84%E -5.37%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:39
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:39
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -10.57%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 10:19
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -10.57%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 10:20
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.05%E -2.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -8.51%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:40
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.05%E -2.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -8.51%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:39
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Tipico (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.36%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 09:50
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:14
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:19
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:14
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.62%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:14
Fliff5.55I 18.02%NM 16.42%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.86%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:20
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -1.32%E -0.275%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:19
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 09:20
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 08:39
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:20
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:00
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.65%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Parions Sport (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -12.89%E -9.34%K -33.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 15:24
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -13.52%E -9.87%K -36.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -13.65%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 15:13
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.33%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.77%EV -10.36%E -7.30%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 15:18
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -14.33%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -7.84%E -5.37%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:15
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.36%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 62.25%EV -15.41%E -11.50%K -45.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.39%EV -19.82%E -5.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-21 15:20
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -11.63%E -8.30%K -29.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -22.90%E -6.11%K -8.33%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -21.68%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -11.60%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 15.00%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.98%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.01%-0.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:14
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%2.5%2026-03-21 15:24