La escuela de los momios

Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente Enschede

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Predicción 16.32%6.13momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.317%
Kelly +0.378%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.21%16.38%16.34%18.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.745.756.2520.83%17.42%17.39%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Twente Enschede (Visitante)

Predicción 63.12%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -5.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.48%63.06%63.09%64.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.471.481.5474.63%68.05%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.56%4.86momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -0.347%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.71%20.56%20.57%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.464.504.8026.67%22.40%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:40
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV +1.98%E +0.317%K +0.378%G +0.007%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:25
1xBet6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV +0.189%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -2.79%E -1.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Pinnacle6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -0.301%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV -3.58%E -0.763%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:39
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -0.464%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 10:19
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -3.42%E -2.24%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 15:09
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -3.42%E -2.24%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 15:05
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 09:30
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -7.84%E -5.37%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:39
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:39
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -10.57%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 10:19
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -2.10%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -10.57%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 10:20
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.05%E -2.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -8.51%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:40
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -4.05%E -2.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -8.51%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:39
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.73%E -0.632%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Tipico (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.36%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 09:50
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:14
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:19
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.95%E -3.99%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -6.46%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:14
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.62%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:14
Fliff5.55I 18.02%NM 16.42%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.86%EV -8.47%E -5.84%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:20
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -1.32%E -0.275%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:19
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.35%E -0.494%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.31%E -3.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 09:20
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.49%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 08:39
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -6.58%E -4.44%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:20
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.21%E -4.90%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:00
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.65%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Parions Sport (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -12.89%E -9.34%K -33.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 15:24
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -13.52%E -9.87%K -36.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -13.65%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 15:13
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.33%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.77%EV -10.36%E -7.30%K -24.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.54%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 15:18
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -14.33%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -7.84%E -5.37%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -5.43%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:15
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.36%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 62.25%EV -15.41%E -11.50%K -45.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.39%EV -19.82%E -5.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-21 15:20
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.10%E -6.32%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.98%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -11.63%E -8.30%K -29.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -22.90%E -6.11%K -8.33%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -21.68%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.81%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -11.60%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 15.00%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.98%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.01%-0.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-03-21 15:14
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%2.5%2026-03-21 15:24