Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.65
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 4.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zwolle (Local): 28.40%; NEC Nijmegen (Visit): 48.42%; Draw: 23.18%. For FC Zwolle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +3.66%E +1.00%K +1.38%G +0.050% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.49%E -4.49%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +0.842%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -0.317%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -0.317%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.817%E +0.230%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -1.45%E -0.419%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%EV -4.62%E -2.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.99%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.586%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.586%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.586%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -10.91%E -5.93%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -6.07%E -3.13%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -11.88%E -6.53%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -12.36%E -6.83%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -12.36%E -6.83%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -13.33%E -7.45%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -13.33%E -7.45%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -13.33%E -7.45%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.58%EV -6.85%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%EV -0.742%E -0.362%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.04%E -3.66%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -6.11%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -10.91%E -5.93%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.07%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.15%EV -9.94%E -5.34%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.85%E -7.14%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.43%EV -12.53%E -4.07%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.49%E -4.49%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.24%EV -19.56%E -5.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98% | 0.0% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |