Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen

Inizio: 2026-08-29 19:00 UTC

Finale: FC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Zwolle (Casa)

Previsione 28.40%3.52quota equa
EV +3.66%
Vantaggio +1.00%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.52%28.32%28.46%29.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.083.323.303.6532.47%30.08%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

NEC Nijmegen (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.42%2.07quota equa
EV -0.742%
Vantaggio -0.362%
Kelly -0.706%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.33%48.43%48.48%51.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.911.912.0555.87%52.47%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.18%4.31quota equa
EV +0.842%
Vantaggio +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.16%23.25%23.06%25.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.474.024.004.3528.82%24.87%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC Zwolle (Casa): 28.40%; NEC Nijmegen (Trasferta): 48.42%; Pareggio: 23.18%. Per FC Zwolle (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.52. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.66%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +3.66%E +1.00%K +1.38%G +0.050%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.49%E -4.49%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +0.842%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002%3.3%2026-08-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 14:00
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.23%EV +0.147%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -0.317%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV +2.24%E +0.621%K +0.860%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -0.317%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.817%E +0.230%K +0.320%G +0.003%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Pinnacle🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -1.45%E -0.419%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%EV -4.62%E -2.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.99%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 18:45
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.586%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.586%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:35
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.586%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:40
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -10.91%E -5.93%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:40
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:50
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -6.07%E -3.13%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:45
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -11.88%E -6.53%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -12.36%E -6.83%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:35
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -12.36%E -6.83%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:35
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:55
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.13%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:55
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:55
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -13.33%E -7.45%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -13.33%E -7.45%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -13.33%E -7.45%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 18:35
1xBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.58%EV -6.85%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%EV -0.742%E -0.362%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -7.04%E -3.66%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:55
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.92%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -6.11%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:53
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -10.75%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:55
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 18:55
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -10.91%E -5.93%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 18:39
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:55
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:55
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.97%E -4.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 18:55
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.07%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.15%EV -9.94%E -5.34%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:40
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.85%E -7.14%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 28.43%EV -12.53%E -4.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.49%E -4.49%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.24%EV -19.56%E -5.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98%0.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-08-29 18:55